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Should You Start a Startup Decision Tree

Hacker News

Should You Start a Startup Decision Tree

Find out if you should start a startup! We're building a simple decision making engine as a school project at Harvard as a proof of concept for a more powerful, ML based tool. Let me know what you think -> has727@g.harvard.edu This decision tree is meant to be simple, but effective, and is based on Paul Graham's startup advice!

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Actual performance

4points
3comments
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
46%46% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
44%44% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
38%38% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
37%37% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
32%32% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
15%15% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
8%8% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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