50

500 days, two guys and a product later

Hacker News

500 days, two guys and a product later

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Actual performance

5points
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
54%54% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
53%53% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
42%42% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
39%39% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
39%39% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
25%25% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
16%16% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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