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Euro 2016 predictions using Bayesian inference

Hacker News

Euro 2016 predictions using Bayesian inference

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Actual performance

79points
57comments
Made the leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
86%86% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
60%60% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: using · Missing: mac, agents, macos
55%55% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
50%50% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
44%44% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
24%24% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
14%14% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

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