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Metaculus crowd-prediction engine. Feedback?
Hacker NewsMetaculus crowd-prediction engine. Feedback?
Share cardActual performance
1points
Did not reach leaderboard
Launch Intel predictions
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BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto71%71% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released43%43% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos41%41% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal37%37% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive36%36% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue22%22% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting18%18% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Correct prediction on native model
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