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I've been writing daily TILs for a year

Hacker News

I've been writing daily TILs for a year

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Actual performance

819points
150comments
Made the leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
60%60% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
53%53% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
51%51% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
33%33% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
31%31% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
22%22% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
4%4% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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